Südzucker AG (ETR:SZU) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Investors in Südzucker AG (ETR:SZU) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.5% to close at €9.90 following the release of its quarterly results. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of €2.2b being 5.0% less than what the analysts had been modelling. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the four analysts covering Südzucker, is for revenues of €8.62b in 2026. This implies a measurable 2.1% reduction in Südzucker's revenue over the past 12 months. Südzucker is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of €0.071 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €8.68b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.12 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a pretty serious reduction to EPS estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Südzucker

The consensus price target held steady at €10.64, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Südzucker, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €13.50 and the most bearish at €9.20 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Südzucker's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 2.7% annualised decline to the end of 2026. That is a notable change from historical growth of 8.8% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.5% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Südzucker is expected to lag the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Südzucker. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Südzucker analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Südzucker you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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