{
    "id": "ERN-045",
    "category": "ERN",
    "title": "盈利預估誤差分布",
    "question": "市場對這家公司預估通常有多準？",
    "chart": "histogram",
    "metric": "EPS 預估誤差頻率（次）",
    "secondary": "誤差中位數與絕對誤差中位數",
    "x": "EPS 差額分箱",
    "y": "EPS 預估誤差頻率（次）",
    "panels": [
        "主圖：EPS 預估誤差頻率（次），依EPS 差額分箱排列",
        "輔圖：誤差中位數與絕對誤差中位數",
        "明細：盈利預估誤差分布的資料列、觀測日期與缺值狀態"
    ],
    "filters": [
        "市場／行業",
        "財政季度／公告日期",
        "調整口徑與樣本年限"
    ],
    "apis": [
        "CALENDAR"
    ],
    "calculation": "對同貨幣各有效季度 actual-estimate 建直方圖，再計絕對誤差中位數。",
    "caveat": "每股拆股口徑須一致；差額分布不是未來概率保證。 報告日與財政期末分開；缺失預估不可當零；歷史預估不等於完整當時可得資料。",
    "data_class": "衍生",
    "complexity": "中",
    "audience": "專業",
    "reach": 5,
    "frequency": 6,
    "decision": 6,
    "clarity": 8,
    "sample_labels": [
        "明顯高估",
        "輕微高估",
        "接近準確",
        "輕微低估",
        "明顯低估"
    ],
    "cadence": "日更；業績公布後重新整理",
    "category_name": "業績與預期",
    "score": 58.5,
    "requires_user_input": false,
    "requires_extra_plan": false,
    "source_urls": [
        "https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/calendar-upcoming-earnings-ipos-and-splits"
    ],
    "rank": 823,
    "stage": "P4",
    "svg_file": "mockups/0823-ERN-045.svg",
    "demo_fingerprint": "8ca4faa0c934de0c",
    "collection": "catalogue",
    "sample_annotation": {
        "sample": true,
        "as_of": "2026-10-16",
        "notice": "Charts and tables for this report are generated, deterministic synthetic sample observations for educational layout and unit demonstration only. No provider, market data or analysis engine is called, and nothing here is a statement about real securities.",
        "notice_zh": "此報告的圖表與數據為確定性生成的合成示例數據，僅供教育及版面展示；並無連接任何資料供應商或實際分析引擎，不代表任何真實證券的表現。",
        "default_filters": {
            "symbol": "0700.HK",
            "period": "1Y",
            "benchmark": "HSI"
        },
        "filters": {
            "symbol": [
                "0700.HK",
                "0005.HK",
                "AAPL.US",
                "MSFT.US",
                "SPY.US",
                "BTC-USD.CC"
            ],
            "period": [
                "1Y",
                "3Y",
                "5Y"
            ],
            "benchmark": [
                "HSI",
                "SPX",
                "BTC"
            ]
        },
        "library": {
            "version": "2026-10-19",
            "source": "https://chatgpt.com/share/6ad67223-c610-83e8-adb2-33aaf792e584",
            "sample": true
        }
    }
}