Is Maersk Attractively Priced After Recent 3.9% Price Dip?

Curious whether A.P. Møller - Mærsk stock is a bargain right now? You are not alone. There's plenty of interest in finding out if this global shipping giant’s current price really reflects its fundamentals. After rising an impressive 24.4% in the last year and up 121.9% over five years, the stock has shown both strong long-term growth and more recent volatility, with a 3.9% dip over the past week. Driving these recent price swings are headlines about shifting global trade routes and changing freight rates, both of which have major implications for a container shipping leader like Maersk. News about supply chain disruptions and evolving demand has added an extra layer of complexity to understanding what’s next for the stock. Based on our analysis, A.P. Møller - Mærsk scores 3 out of 6 on our value checks, suggesting the valuation is not black and white. In this article, we will dig into how the numbers stack up using various approaches, and look out for a fresh perspective on value at the end.

A.P. Møller - Mærsk delivered 24.4% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Shipping industry.

Approach 1: A.P. Møller Mærsk Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates the true worth of a business by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s value. This approach gives investors a way to assess what a company is fundamentally worth, based on its ability to generate cash in the years ahead.

For A.P. Møller Mærsk, the latest available figures show the company produced $9.28 Billion in free cash flow over the last twelve months. Analysts provide direct estimates for the next few years, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further out. According to these projections, Maersk’s free cash flow is expected to reach around $1.47 Billion in 2029, reflecting a period of lower forecasted cash flow compared to today, followed by gradual recovery further out.

Based on the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model and factoring in these projections, the estimated intrinsic value per share is DKK 15,617. This implies the stock trades at a 17.7% discount to its fair value according to this model. In other words, the current price undervalues Maersk by a meaningful margin.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests A.P. Møller - Mærsk is undervalued by 17.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 849 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.MAERSK B Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for A.P. Møller - Mærsk.

Story Continues

Approach 2: A.P. Møller Mærsk Price vs Earnings

The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is widely used to value established, profitable companies like A.P. Møller Mærsk, as it reveals how much investors are paying for each Danish krone of company earnings. A lower PE ratio can suggest a stock is undervalued, but context is important; the PE should be considered alongside the company's growth prospects and risk profile, since higher growth and lower risk generally warrant a higher PE multiple.

Currently, Maersk is trading on a PE ratio of 4.28x. This is significantly below both the average for the shipping industry at 9.89x and the peer group average of 16.38x. At face value, this might suggest that the stock could be undervalued relative to its sector and peers.

Simply Wall St’s "Fair Ratio" model takes things a step further. Rather than comparing to crude averages, the Fair Ratio (for Maersk: 2.38x) incorporates a wide range of company-specific factors including expected earnings growth, industry nuances, profit margins, market capitalization, and risk factors. This approach aims to show what a justified PE ratio should look like specifically for Maersk, rather than relying only on broad benchmarks.

With Maersk's actual PE ratio of 4.28x sitting above its Fair Ratio of 2.38x, the stock appears to be trading at a higher multiple than justified by its current fundamentals. This implies Maersk may be slightly overvalued based on this lens.

Result: OVERVALUEDCPSE:MAERSK B PE Ratio as at Nov 2025

PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1407 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your A.P. Møller Mærsk Narrative

Earlier, we alluded to an even better way to understand stock valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives, a smarter and more dynamic approach now available on Simply Wall St’s Community page, where millions of investors explore new ways to invest.

A Narrative is the story you believe about a company’s future, linking your perspective on key drivers such as growth prospects or industry changes to concrete financial forecasts and a personal estimate of fair value. Instead of relying solely on models or ratios, Narratives empower you to blend analysis with your own views, allowing you to see how your assumptions would impact the company’s valuation and decide when the stock is truly a bargain or overpriced compared to the current price.

This approach is accessible and easy to use. You simply set your assumptions, watch as your Narrative updates with new company news or results, and compare how your view stacks up against the market or other investors. For example, if you are optimistic about Maersk’s ability to sustain margins and global trade growth, your Narrative might point to a price target as high as DKK 15,969. A more cautious view about competition and market headwinds could justify a target as low as DKK 8,470. Try your own Narrative to see where you stand.

Do you think there's more to the story for A.P. Møller - Mærsk? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!CPSE:MAERSK B Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MAERSK-B.CO.

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