Analysts eye a potential Performance Food Group-US Foods merger

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Analysts eye a potential Performance Food Group-US Foods merger
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Performance Food Group (NYSE:PFGC [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PFGC]) and US Foods Holdings (NYSE:USFD [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/USFD]) are exploring a potential merger, having entered into a confidential information-sharing agreement this week. Both companies will assess synergies, regulatory hurdles, and the overall feasibility of a business combination.

Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly said Performance Food Group's (NYSE:PFGC [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PFGC]) decision to enter into a clean team agreement is a key step forward in exploring a deal. Kelly noted regulatory issues are likely to be the biggest issue. "The big question is antitrust approval and required divestitures," warned Kelly. "It's possible that at least 30% of USFD's markets could see scrutiny," he added.

Deutsche Bank analyst Lauren Silberman said the firm suspects pressure from Performance Food Group (PFGC [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PFGC]) shareholders, including the potential risk of a proxy contest, contributed to the decision to come to the table for preliminary talks. Silberman and her team believe a USFD-PFGC merger could unlock meaningful value creation, though regulatory and execution risks exist. She wrote that there are also questions around the premium USFD is willing and will need to pay for the acquisition since PFGC is seen as operating from a position of strength. "Overall, we remain positive on both USFD and PFGC individually given attractive growth outlooks, while potential for strategic optionality with the deal represents further upside," added Silberman.

Behind the scenes, the role of activist investors, especially Sachem Head Capital Management, has been highly influential in pushing Performance Food Group (PFGC [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PFGC]) toward merger discussions. Sachem Head reportedly privately nominated candidates to the PFGC board after taking a stake in the company and has been urging PFGC to consider strategies to boost profitability, including a merger with US Foods (NYSE:USFD [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/USFD]).

US Foods (USFD [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/USFD]) fell 2.0% on Tuesday, while Performance Food Group (PFGC [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/PFGC]) edged 0.7% higher.

MORE ON PERFORMANCE FOOD GROUP, US FOODS

* US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) Presents At Piper Sandler 4th Annual Growth Frontiers Conference Transcript [https://seekingalpha.com/article/4821609-us-foods-holding-corp-usfd-presents-at-piper-sandler-4th-annual-growth-frontiers-conference]
* Performance Food Group: Solid Momentum Offset By Weaker Margins [https://seekingalpha.com/article/4818934-performance-food-group-solid-momentum-offset-by-weaker-margins]
* Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript [https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813196-performance-food-group-company-pfgc-q4-2025-earnings-call-transcript]
* Performance Food Group, US Foods begin information sharing for potential merger [https://seekingalpha.com/news/4495171-performance-food-group-us-foods-begin-information-sharing-for-potential-merger]
* Performance Food rallies after engaging with US Foods in potential merger talks [https://seekingalpha.com/news/4495154-performance-food-rallies-after-engaging-with-us-foods-in-potential-merger-talks]