ALICO INC (NASDAQ:ALCO) Q3 2025 Earnings: Revenue and EPS Miss Amid Strategic Transition to Land Development

ALICO INC (NASDAQ:ALCO [https://www.chartmill.com/stock/quote/ALCO]) REPORTS Q3 2025 EARNINGS: MISSES REVENUE AND EPS ESTIMATES AMID STRATEGIC SHIFT

Alico Inc. released its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, revealing a significant miss on both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) compared to analyst expectations. The company reported revenue of $8.39 MILLION, falling short of the estimated $9.08 MILLION, while its diluted EPS came in at -$2.39, far below the projected -$0.36. The market reaction has been muted in after-hours trading, with no immediate price movement, though the stock has seen modest gains over the past month (+2.6%).

KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS VS. ESTIMATES

* REVENUE: $8.39M (actual) vs. $9.08M (estimate) – -7.6% MISS
* EPS: -$2.39 (actual) vs. -$0.36 (estimate) – 563% WORSE THAN EXPECTED
* NET LOSS: $18.29M attributable to common stockholders, compared to a $2.04M loss in the prior-year quarter.

The sharp decline in earnings was primarily driven by $40.7 MILLION IN ACCELERATED DEPRECIATION related to the company’s citrus trees as part of its strategic shift away from citrus production. This was partially offset by $16 MILLION IN CROP INSURANCE PROCEEDS following Hurricane Milton’s impact in October 2024.

STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATION PROGRESS

Alico is undergoing a major transition from a citrus-focused agribusiness to a DIVERSIFIED LAND MANAGEMENT AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY. Key developments include:

* COMPLETION OF FINAL MAJOR CITRUS HARVEST in Q3 2025.
* $9.3M IN LAND AND EQUIPMENT SALES, exceeding its fiscal 2025 target of $20M.
* STRONG LIQUIDITY POSITION, with $42.1M in cash and a current ratio of 9.37:1.
* CORKSCREW GROVE VILLAGES PROJECT ADVANCING, with legislative approval for a stewardship district to support infrastructure financing.

MARKET REACTION & OUTLOOK

Despite the earnings miss, the stock has shown resilience, gaining 3.3% OVER THE PAST WEEK and 2.8% OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS, suggesting investor optimism around Alico’s long-term land development strategy.

Looking ahead, management expects:

* ADJUSTED EBITDA OF ~$20M FOR FY2025, with cash reserves sufficient to cover operating expenses through 2027.
* NET DEBT REDUCTION TO ~$60M BY YEAR-END, down from $85.2M currently.

Analyst estimates for Q4 2025 project revenue of $306K and EPS of -$0.35, while full-year 2025 expectations stand at $53.66M IN SALES and -$1.18 EPS.

CONCLUSION

Alico’s Q3 results reflect the financial impact of its strategic pivot, with near-term losses overshadowed by progress in land monetization and development initiatives. While the transition remains a work in progress, the company’s strong balance sheet and real estate potential may justify the market’s cautious optimism.

For more detailed earnings estimates and historical performance, visit ALICO’S EARNINGS PAGE [https://www.chartmill.com/stock/quote/ALCO/earnings-estimates].

DISCLAIMER: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions.