US October PPI +6.5% vs +6.6% expected Fed's Goolsbee: We're not on the way to 2% inflation and we have to deal with that Goldman Sachs: We can explain almost the entire US inflation overshoot by tariffs and the war in Iran Fed's Collins: I would think some additional policy tightening is warranted soon Fed's Daly: In all likelihood, we need to raise rates M…
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The old addage is: Never underestimate the spending power of the US consumer. That stance has been a remarkably good one for traders. Time after time, Americans have dug into their pockets and kept the economy churning. But never say never. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly was just out with a comment, highlighting that she's "just starting to hear the c…
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Earnings season is supposed to be over. Instead, next week might be the most important of the quarter for the macro view. Nvidia reports days after losing its founder. Anthropic prices what could be the largest equity deal ever. And every major US retailer reports into a rate-hike cycle. October CPI came in hot at 0.4% headline and 0.3% core, a December hike…
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Prior was 6.3% PPI final demand m/m +0.3% vs +0.4 expected Prior m/m +1.3% Ex-food and energy y/y +5.0% vs +5.0% expected Prior ex-food and energy 5.0% y/y Ex-food and energy m/m +0.3% vs +0.3% expected Prior ex-food and energy +0.7% m/m Ex-food, energy and trade y/y +4.9% vs +5.0% prior Ex-food, energy and trade m/m +0.5% vs +0.5% prior The market is increa…
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Headlines: Wall Street steadies despite Nvidia drama but dip buyers are still walking a tight rope US bond market cracks resurface as higher for longer fears return to haunt Wall Street Higher real yields and stronger US dollar weigh on gold as Trump puts Iran deal in jeopardy Japan prime minister Takaichi fires another verbal warning as USD/JPY flirts with…
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Eurozone Q3 GDP second estimate +0.4% vs +0.4% q/q prelim Prior +0.6% Eurozone Q3 GDP second estimate +1.3% vs +1.3% y/y prelim Prior +1.2% There are no changes to the initial estimates as the euro area economy holds up in Q3. As a reminder, expectations were for a growth of just 0.2% on the quarter on the initial report. So, the second estimate here mainly…
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