Systematic bias in economic consensus
Is a given economic data series consistently overestimated or underestimated?
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サンプルJSON
仕様JSON
サンプル基準日
0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD
- Highest item: Consistent underestimate
- 0.6
- Lowest item: Consistent overestimate
- -0.48
- Average
- 0.23
- Number of items
- 5 items
Main chart: mean forecast error / mean absolute error (-1 to 1), by economic indicator on the same basis
Mean forecast error / mean absolute error (-1 to 1) (棒)
Supporting chart: overestimate count, underestimate count and sample size
Overestimate count, underestimate count and sample size (折れ線)
Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for the systematic bias in economic consensus
Mean forecast error / mean absolute error (-1 to 1) and Overestimate count, underestimate count and sample size (表)
サンプルデータ行
| Economic indicators on the same basis | Mean forecast error / mean absolute error (-1 to 1) | Overestimate count, underestimate count and sample size | Data date (sample) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consistent overestimate | -0.48 | 96.8 | 2026-10-16 |
| Slight overestimate | 0.35 | 98.2 | 2026-10-16 |
| No clear bias | 0.55 | 100 | 2026-10-16 |
| Slight underestimate | 0.11 | 79.9 | 2026-10-16 |
| Consistent underestimate | 0.6 | 88.4 | 2026-10-16 |