Pre-earnings option implied volatility

How big a move do option prices imply for earnings?

Earnings and expectations ERN-023 Range Sample

Sample data. Every number, symbol and holding on these pages is generated sample data dated 2026-10-16, used only to illustrate layout and method for educational and informational purposes. It is not market data, backtest output or a forecast, and the analytics described in the specifications are not running.

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0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD

Highest item: Lower expectation
11.89 %
Lowest item: Higher expectation
2.52 %
Average
7.08 %
Number of items
4 items

Main chart: at-the-money straddle cost / share price (%), arranged by company

At-the-money straddle cost / share price (%) (Range)

Supporting chart: median absolute historical earnings move

Median absolute historical earnings move (Bar)

Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for pre-earnings option implied volatility

At-the-money straddle cost / share price (%) and Median absolute historical earnings move (Table)

Sample data rows

CompanyAt-the-money straddle cost / share price (%)Median absolute historical earnings moveData date (sample)
Lower expectation 11.89 2.55 2026-10-16
Moderate expectation 4.32 7.94 2026-10-16
Higher expectation 2.52 -6.52 2026-10-16
Historical median 9.58 -4.84 2026-10-16