Realized versus implied earnings move
Did the actual earnings move exceed what options priced in?
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Sample JSON
Specification JSON
Sample as of
0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD
- Highest item: Well above priced-in
- 24.9 %
- Lowest item: Slightly above priced-in
- -9.55 %
- Average
- 6.23 %
- Number of items
- 4 items
Main chart: realized absolute return on announcement (%), by pre-announcement implied move (%)
Realized absolute return on announcement (%) (Scatter)
Supporting chart: straddle cost ratio and excess share
Pre-announcement implied move (%) (Bar)
Detail: rows, observation dates and missing-value status for realized versus implied earnings move
Realized absolute return on announcement (%) and Pre-announcement implied move (%) (Table)
Sample data rows
| Pre-announcement implied move (%) | Realized absolute return on announcement (%) | Pre-announcement implied move (%) | Data date (sample) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Realized below priced-in | 12.29 | 10.48 | 2026-10-16 |
| Close to priced-in | -2.72 | 4.94 | 2026-10-16 |
| Slightly above priced-in | -9.55 | 2.09 | 2026-10-16 |
| Well above priced-in | 24.9 | -4.55 | 2026-10-16 |