Economic forecast direction hit rate
Can the market anticipate whether an indicator will rise or fall from its previous value?
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Sample JSON
Specification JSON
Sample as of
0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD
- Highest item: Production
- 68.1 %
- Lowest item: GDP
- 40.7 %
- Average
- 53.9 %
- Number of items
- 5 items
Main chart: forecast change direction hit rate (%), by country and economic indicator
Forecast change direction hit rate (%) (Matrix)
Supporting chart: valid releases and forecasts with no direction
Valid releases and forecasts with no direction (Bar)
Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for the economic forecast direction hit rate
Forecast change direction hit rate (%) and Valid releases and forecasts with no direction (Table)
Sample data rows
| Country and economic indicator | Forecast change direction hit rate (%) | Valid releases and forecasts with no direction | Data date (sample) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 42.9 | 36 | 2026-10-16 |
| Employment | 62 | 7 | 2026-10-16 |
| GDP | 40.7 | 65 | 2026-10-16 |
| Retail | 55.7 | 34 | 2026-10-16 |
| Production | 68.1 | 20 | 2026-10-16 |