Macro regimes and historical asset returns

How have assets performed under different annual growth and inflation combinations?

Macro, FX and crypto assets MAC-048 Heatmap Sample

Sample data. Every number, symbol and holding on these pages is generated sample data dated 2026-10-16, used only to illustrate layout and method for educational and informational purposes. It is not market data, backtest output or a forecast, and the analytics described in the specifications are not running.

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0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD

Highest item: Low growth, high inflation
4.81 %
Lowest item: Low growth, low inflation
-1.6 %
Average
1.9 %
Number of items
4 items

Main chart: median annual return within regime (%), by macro regime and asset

Median annual return within regime (%) (Heatmap)

Supporting chart: number of sample years and interquartile range

Number of sample years and interquartile range (Bar)

Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for macro regimes and historical asset returns

Median annual return within regime (%) and Number of sample years and interquartile range (Table)

Sample data rows

Macro regime and assetMedian annual return within regime (%)Number of sample years and interquartile rangeData date (sample)
Low growth, low inflation -1.6 95.3 2026-10-16
High growth, high inflation 4.22 98.9 2026-10-16
Low growth, low inflation 0.19 86.5 2026-10-16
Low growth, high inflation 4.81 87.4 2026-10-16