Historical study of text sentiment

Is there a stable relationship between text scores and subsequent returns?

News and sentiment NEW-046 Bar Sample

Sample data. Every number, symbol and holding on these pages is generated sample data dated 2026-10-16, used only to illustrate layout and method for educational and informational purposes. It is not market data, backtest output or a forecast, and the analytics described in the specifications are not running.

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0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD

Highest item: Fourth group
0.19
Lowest item: Highest sentiment
-0.09
Average
0.04
Number of items
5 items

Main chart: subsequent excess return by sentiment group (%), by sentiment quantile group

Subsequent excess return by sentiment group (%) (Bar)

Secondary chart: sample size and out-of-sample period results

Sample size and out-of-sample period results (Line)

Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for the historical study of text sentiment

Subsequent excess return by sentiment group (%) and Sample size and out-of-sample period results (Table)

Sample data rows

Sentiment quantile groupSubsequent excess return by sentiment group (%)Sample size and out-of-sample period resultsData date (sample)
Lowest sentiment -0.07 94.4 2026-10-16
Second group 0.06 100 2026-10-16
Middle group 0.12 92.1 2026-10-16
Fourth group 0.19 97.3 2026-10-16
Highest sentiment -0.09 100 2026-10-16