Implied vs. realized volatility

How far does option IV exceed recent share price volatility?

US options OPT-013 Line Sample

Sample data. Every number, symbol and holding on these pages is generated sample data dated 2026-10-16, used only to illustrate layout and method for educational and informational purposes. It is not market data, backtest output or a forecast, and the analytics described in the specifications are not running.

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0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD

Latest value
31.17 %
Period average
30.06 %
Period high
35.29 %
Period low
23.7 %

Main chart: IV minus annualized realized volatility (percentage points), by date

IV minus annualized realized volatility (percentage points) (Line)

Secondary chart: IV and standard deviation of daily returns

IV and standard deviation of daily returns (Bar)

Detail: data rows, observation dates and missing-value status for implied vs. realized volatility

IV minus annualized realized volatility (percentage points) and IV and standard deviation of daily returns (Table)

Sample data rows

DateIV minus annualized realized volatility (percentage points)IV and standard deviation of daily returnsData date (sample)
2025-10-16 27.17 44.75 2025-10-16
2025-11-03 28.86 53.8 2025-11-03
2025-11-17 30.63 41.21 2025-11-17
2025-12-03 30.58 31.33 2025-12-03
2025-12-19 31.49 37.85 2025-12-19
2026-01-02 29.34 40.04 2026-01-02
2026-01-20 27.92 29.32 2026-01-20
2026-02-05 30.85 34.56 2026-02-05
2026-02-23 32.22 22.27 2026-02-23
2026-03-09 35.03 16.48 2026-03-09
2026-03-25 30.63 16.02 2026-03-25
2026-04-10 28.83 30.39 2026-04-10
2026-04-24 29.53 35.97 2026-04-24
2026-05-12 25.71 46.74 2026-05-12
2026-05-28 27.98 42.11 2026-05-28
2026-06-11 26.81 19.16 2026-06-11
2026-06-29 29.8 14.25 2026-06-29
2026-07-15 34.09 19.45 2026-07-15
2026-07-31 29.16 44.16 2026-07-31
2026-08-14 33.18 42.72 2026-08-14
2026-09-01 32.66 46.16 2026-09-01
2026-09-17 29.68 31.64 2026-09-17
2026-10-01 28.35 10.28 2026-10-01
2026-10-16 31.17 15.55 2026-10-16