Cycle-normalized earnings valuation

When earnings are at a cyclical peak or trough, how misleading is the current P/E?

Valuation VAL-043 Multi-series Sample

Sample data. Every number, symbol and holding on these pages is generated sample data dated 2026-10-16, used only to illustrate layout and method for educational and informational purposes. It is not market data, backtest output or a forecast, and the analytics described in the specifications are not running.

Download CSV Sample JSON Specification JSON Sample as of

0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD

Highest item: Trough margin
13 x
Lowest item: Peak margin
5.8 x
Average
9.5 x
Number of items
4 items

Reported vs. normalized valuation

Normalized P/E (x) (Multi-series)

Historical margins

Median historical margin (%) (Bar)

Cycle selection

Normalized P/E (x) and Median historical margin (%) (Table)

Sample data rows

Earnings basisNormalized P/E (x)Median historical margin (%)Data date (sample)
Peak margin 5.8 10.15 2026-10-16
Trough margin 13 19.04 2026-10-16
Median margin 6.5 16.71 2026-10-16
Current margin 12.8 9.85 2026-10-16