Historical probability of loss by holding period
Does the share of historical loss samples fall as the holding period lengthens?
CSV 다운로드
샘플 JSON
사양 JSON
샘플 기준일
0700.HK Tencent Holdings | Hang Seng Index | 2025-10-16 – 2026-10-16 | HKD
- Latest value
- 10.9 %
- Period average
- 21.3 %
- Period high
- 57.6 %
- Period low
- 0 %
Historical probability of loss by holding period
Share of negative-return samples (%) (선)
Valid sample size (observations)
Valid sample size (observations) (막대)
Event detail and data date
Share of negative-return samples (%) and Valid sample size (observations) (표)
샘플 데이터 행
| Trading day/observation period | Share of negative-return samples (%) | Valid sample size (observations) | Data date (sample) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | 38 | 55 | 2025-10-16 |
| 2025-11-03 | 6.1 | 22 | 2025-11-03 |
| 2025-11-17 | 15.6 | 28 | 2025-11-17 |
| 2025-12-03 | 5.1 | 6 | 2025-12-03 |
| 2025-12-19 | 23.5 | 20 | 2025-12-19 |
| 2026-01-02 | 36.7 | 55 | 2026-01-02 |
| 2026-01-20 | 23.7 | 35 | 2026-01-20 |
| 2026-02-05 | 16.3 | 7 | 2026-02-05 |
| 2026-02-23 | 28.9 | 20 | 2026-02-23 |
| 2026-03-09 | 48.6 | 125 | 2026-03-09 |
| 2026-03-25 | 18.3 | 26 | 2026-03-25 |
| 2026-04-10 | 0 | 26 | 2026-04-10 |
| 2026-04-24 | 27.9 | 30 | 2026-04-24 |
| 2026-05-12 | 14 | 66 | 2026-05-12 |
| 2026-05-28 | 3.6 | 29 | 2026-05-28 |
| 2026-06-11 | 42.7 | 28 | 2026-06-11 |
| 2026-06-29 | 22.9 | 52 | 2026-06-29 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2.8 | 96 | 2026-07-15 |
| 2026-07-31 | 35.6 | 8 | 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-08-14 | 17.9 | 31 | 2026-08-14 |
| 2026-09-01 | 19.4 | 19 | 2026-09-01 |
| 2026-09-17 | 39.1 | 119 | 2026-09-17 |
| 2026-10-01 | 0 | 50 | 2026-10-01 |
| 2026-10-16 | 10.9 | 37 | 2026-10-16 |